Tea with Tony | Episode 7 | October 2021


It’s our second Covid edition of Tea with Tony. With Auckland making a move to alert Level 3 and restrictions continuing throughout the country, we discuss the immediate impacts, and we look forward, focusing on the post lockdown economic environment. Are price hikes and inflation our new normal? And where will interest rates land? To close, Tony talks about the housing market in Christchurch and whether we’re nearing the end of sharp housing price increases!

Key Moments:

00:00 – Introduction
1:50 – Key Moment – Confidence remains in an economic bounce back
2:22 – Key Moment – The impacts are not the same
3:26 – Key Moment – Advice for small business owners
6:58 – Key Moment – Price hikes and inflation – the new normal?
8:46 – Key Moment – Official cash rate increases
11:40 – Key Moment – Inversely related – inflation vs interest rates
12:17 – Key Moment – Uncertainty in interest rate forecasts
12:55 – Key Moment – The housing market cycle
15:03 – Key Moment – Christchurch – hot property?
17:50 – Key Moment – The end game of sharp housing price increases

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*Please note – Tony Alexander is an independent economist. His views are his own and not necessarily shared by NZHL or vice versa. Tea with Tony is brought to you by NZHL in a sponsored capacity.